We link large health databases with spatial-temporal environmental data to conduct population health research. We also develop new statistical approaches motivated by challenges from these large population studies. Overall, the impact of our research is twofold: (1) to provide real-world evidence on health effects of environmental risk factors for supporting policies and interventions, and (2) to provide crosscutting methodological solutions and tools for public health research.
Our five research areas are:
We develop statistical approaches and tools to address analytical and inferential issues in environmental health research. Environmental risk factors are complex due their spatial-temporal dependence, joint occurrence and measurement error. Environmental health studies are also typically observational and retrospective, requiring careful design and modeling considerations to minimize bias.
We develop methods to
better utilize increasingly spatially-resolved exposure data in health analysis;
explore which individual- and area-level factors render differential risks;
characterize the joint health effect of multiple (mixture) environmental exposures;
identify critical exposure windows, such as during pregnancy or lagged exposures;
improve the accuracy and precision of common study designs for estimating health effects of short-term and long-term exposures?
Time-to-event analysis of preterm birth accounting for gestational age uncertainties. Zhang et al. Annals of Applied Statistics 2025
Estimating heterogeneous exposure effects in the case-crossover design using BART. Englert et al. Journal of the American Statistical Association 2025
Modeling time-varying dispersion to improve estimation of the short-term health effect of environmental exposure in a time-series design. Zhang et al. Epidemiology 2025
A scalar-on-quantile-function approach for estimating short-term health effects of environmental exposures. Zhang et al. Biometrics 2024
Integrative statistical methods for exposure mixtures and health. Reich et al. Annals of Applied Statistics 2020
R01 ES037289 New Statistical Methods for Estimating Health Effects of Environmental Exposures, NIEHS (2025-2030).
R21 ES022795 Statistical Methods for Exposure Uncertainty in Air Pollution and Health Studies, NIEHS (2013-2015).
We conduct large-scale health studies by analyzing massive health databases (e.g., birth certificates, electronic medical records, hospital discharge records). Our work has focused on two health outcomes. (1) Adverse pregnancy outcomes, which are linked to increases in neonatal morbidity and mortality; and (2) emergency department visit, which is a under-studied morbidity outcomes compared to hospital admissions and mortality. We are a part of the Emory ENVISION Research Group and the Emory CHART Center.
Our current investigations aim to
estimate short-term health effects of environmental exposures on hospital encounters for neurological conditions, substance use disorder, renal diseases and cardiovascular diseases;
estimate health effects of environmental exposures on adverse pregnancy outcomes, such as reduced gestational length, miscarriages and gestational metabolic disease;
highlight climate-sensitive and disaster-related exposures, such as heat waves, wildfire and dust storm;
identify higher-risk subpopulations by age, social determinants of health, medication and chronic conditions;
incorporate quantitative research (e.g., patient interview and stakeholder focus group) to better inform data-driven epidemiologic analyses and triangulate findings for preventive strategies.
Case-crossover assessment of the modifying effects of home medication use on acute kidney-related morbidity due to elevated ambient heat exposure in Atlanta, GA, from 2013 to 2019. McCann et al. BMJ Public Health 2025
A time-to-event analysis of the association between ambient air pollution and risk of spontaneous abortion using vital records in the US state of Georgia (2005-2014). Hsiao et al. American Journal of Epidemiology 2026
Preterm and early-term delivery after heat waves in 50 US metropolitan areas. Darrow et al. JAMA Network Open 2024
Dust Storms and emergency department visits in 3 Southwestern states using NWS storm reports. Zheng et al. JAMA Network Open 2025
Associations between short-term ambient temperature exposure and emergency department visits for amphetamine, cocaine, and opioid use in California from 2005 to 2019. Chang et al. Environment International 2023
Short-term associations between warm-season ambient temperature and emergency department visits for Alzheimer's disease and related dementia in five US states. Zhang et al. Environmental Research 2023
P20 ES036110 Climate & Health Actionable Research and Translation Center (CHART) - Research Project, NIEHS (2023-2026)
ROSES A.37 Neighborhood-scale Extreme Humid Heat Health Impacts, NASA (2022-2025)
R01 ES028346 Extreme heat events and pregnancy duration: a national study, NIEHS (2018-2023).
R21 ES032344 Dust storms and emergency department visits in four southwestern US states, NIEHS (2021-2023).
Environmental monitoring stations are spatially sparse and preferentially placed. We develop statistical and machine learning approaches that combine monitoring data with satellite imagery and numerical model simulations to estimate exposures with broader spatial-temporal coverage. These data products, along with uncertainty measures, can be used for subsequent health effect and health impact studies.
We develop:
scalable, spatial-temporal statistical models that integrate multiple data sources for air pollution estimation;
ensemble approaches to combine predictions from different models with rigorous uncertainty quantification;
distribution-based approaches to bias-correct climate model simulations for projection analyses;
methods to address informative missingness and errors in data inputs.
ensembleDownscaleR: R Package for Bayesian Ensemble Averaging of PM2. 5 Geostatistical Downscalers. Madden et al.. Remote Sensing 2025
A Bayesian ensemble approach to combine PM2.5 estimates from statistical models using satellite imagery and numerical model simulation. Murray et al. Environmental Research 2019
Imputing satellite-derived aerosol optical depth using a multi-resolution spatial model and random forest for PM2. 5 prediction. Kianian et al. Remote Sensing 2021
Projecting health impacts of future temperature: a comparison of quantile-mapping bias-correction methods. Qian et al. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 2021
Multivariate spatial prediction of air pollutant concentrations with INLA. Environmental Research Communications. Gong et al. 2021
R01 ES027892 Data Integration Methods for Environmental Exposures with Applications to Air Pollution and Asthma Morbidity, NIEHS (2017-2022).
MAIA (Multi-Angle Imager for Aerosols), NASA.
Accurate disease burden estimates are important for providing baseline data to compare with outbreaks and pandemics, and to assist decision makers in policy considerations. Because symptoms of respiratory infections (e.g., influenza and COVID-19) are non-specific, simply counting diagnosed or test-positive cases can result in under-estimation. We develop models for burden estimation using administrative health databases and surveillance data. We also collaborate with the US CDC and WHO on burden estimation for mortality and hospitalization.
Our current projects aim to
develop time-series and spatial-temporal statistical models to account for under-ascertainment in respiratory infectious disease counts;
examine socio-demographic, health condition and environmental factors that can explain spatial heterogeneity in disease burden;
extend prior work with influenza to other respiratory infections, including respiratory syncytial virus and COVID-19;
utilize bias-corrected community-level infectious activity as a risk factor for other health outcomes and as a modifier of other environmental exposures.
A time-series approach for estimating emergency department visits attributable to seasonal influenza: results from 6 US cities, 2005-2006 to 2016-2017 seasons. Huang et al. American Journal of Epidemiology 2026
County-level influenza-attributable emergency department visits and their spatial correlates in the United States: cross-sectional observational study. Huang et al. JMIR Public Health and Surveillance 2025
Influenza Activity and Preterm Birth in the Atlanta Metropolitan Area: A Time-Series Analysis from 2010 to 2017. Zheng et al. Epidemiology 2025
A Bayesian spatial–temporal varying coefficients model for estimating excess deaths associated with respiratory infections. Zhang et al. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 2025
Estimates of global seasonal influenza-associated respiratory mortality: a modelling study. Iuliano et al. The Lancet 2018
R21 AI167418 Methods for Estimating Disease Burden of Seasonal Influenza, NIAID (2023-2025).
R01 AI125842 Spatio-temporal data integration methods for infectious disease surveillance, NIAID (2017-2022)
We provide data analytics support for population health studies of various designs, including prospective cohort, randomized trial and retrospective secondary data analysis. Responsibilities include database design, data cleaning and harmonization, data dissemination and statistical analysis plan development for longitudinal, time-to-event and spatial data. Two ongoing international studies are the Household Air Pollution Intervention Network (HAPIN) Trial and the CARRS (Center for cArdiometabolic Risk Reduction in South Asia) cohort.
Natural history of type 2 diabetes in Indians: time to progression. Narayan et al. Diabetes Care 2024
Spatial associations between measures of public transportation and diabetic foot ulcer outcomes in the state of Georgia: 2016–2019. Vanasse et al. BMJ Open Diabetes Research & Care 2024
Liquefied petroleum gas or biomass for cooking and effects on birth weight. Clasen et al. New England Journal of Medicine 2022
Design and rationale of the HAPIN study: a multicountry randomized controlled trial to assess the effect of liquefied petroleum gas stove and continuous fuel distribution. Clasen et al. Environmental Health Perspectives 2020
UM1 HL134590 Household Air Pollution and Health: A Multi-Country LPG Intervention Trial, NHLBI (2016-2021).
P01 HL154996 Precision Cardiovascular Diseases Phenotyping and Pathophysiological Pathways in the CARRS Cohort (Precision-CARRS), NHLBI (2022-2027)
R21 MD017943 Neighborhood transportation vulnerability and geographic patterns of diabetes-related limb loss, NIMHD (2022-2024).
The National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease
The National institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities
The Health Effects Institute
The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
The National Aeronautics and Space Administration